Sean Zerillo has analyzed each bout to pick out his nine favorite bets. He has been dismantling his opponents with leg kicks and takedowns in recent fights, securing seven of his 11 takedown attempts against Joe Duffy and Lando Vannata, while out-landing them by a combined significant strike margin of 103-40.

We hate spam as much as you do, we will never sell or trade your information. Dolidze. Prediction: Ibragimov via first-round technical knockout. The projection sees the fight finishing inside the distance 73% of the time, implied odds of -270, so betting the No – To Go the Distance (-200) offers about 6.3% of line value. Carolina let her hands and legs fly (6.53 significant strikes per minute) in her UFC debut, and the judges have been siding with volume as opposed to power on Fight Island (see Tim Elliott vs. Ryan Benoit and Max Holloway vs. Alexander Volkanovski II). Lipski’s deficiencies are in her grappling game, and in a toe-to-toe striking battle for 15 minutes, perhaps she picks up the volume a bit. Jackson will be the noticeably larger fighter on Saturday, with a three-inch height, and four-inch reach advantage. 8%. Ibragimov is the safer bet but Dolidze is much capable of surprising everyone. With a projected moneyline at -257, Diakiese offers substantial value at his current odds. Also. Still, I’m not particularly interested in backing a knockout artist in his first fight off of the juice – despite the projected line value. Johns is significantly more technical on the feet, but I do expect Alvarez to have his moments, however, and the potential for the finish should be there.
Alvarez by decision (+460) technically offers value, since the crowd sees the fight going the distance 59% of the time. Generally, betting the Over on rounds in the UFC Heavyweight division is a contrarian, but profitable investment – but I’m not so sure what to make of the first fight on Saturday’s card, which the crowd projects to finish inside of the distance 78% of the time – more often than all but one fight on Saturday night. He has knocked out four opponents as a professional. A strange Light Heavyweight bout concludes the undercard on Saturday, as Kahdis Ibragimov fights for his UFC life against newcomer Roman Dolidze, who hasn’t fought since a 2018 PED suspension.
Ibragimov has had a rough go in his UFC tenure so far dropping both of his bouts against Da Un Jung and Ed Herman. Pictured: Kelvin Gastelum. Decision. Other. Tapology Community Predictions: 2673 .

11:40 PM • Jul 18, 2020.

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